Fall 2016 Weather Forecast: A Slow Start to Fall, Snow Still Possible Late Season

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Fall 2016 is almost upon us. With that said, it does not feel like it in any way whatsoever. Temperatures are reaching the 80s and 90s nearly everyday, and as mentioned in the September Outlook posted earlier, that will be common as we progress through September. Below is a month-by-month outlook. Instead of getting into all of the scientific variables that 99% of you could care less about, we will jump straight into temperatures and precipitation.

SEPTEMBER 2016: Above average temperatures are expected with slightly below average rainfall.

This will negatively impact Fall Foliage, turning many trees brown or dark yellow. Furthermore, the current drought is likely to be extended but not worsen.

OCTOBER 2016: Slightly above average temperatures with average precipitation.

During October we will experience temperature swings. However, we do think that above average temperatures will be more common. With that said, there will be three to five day periods where below average temperatures exist. Precipitation will be in the form of storm systems along with cold fronts. We do think that some areas will see their first flakes in Mid to Late October.

NOVEMBER 2016: Average temperatures along with average precipitation.

Once again temperatures swings will be seen during the month of November, as they usually are. There is a chance that this month could be slightly above average temperature-wise. Precipitation will be near-normal with lake effect snow beginning in Late November. We are confident that the entire state will see their first snow in November.

DECEMBER 2016: Average temperatures and average precipitation.

We don’t expect this month to be snow-filled. There is a chance of a few winter weather events outside of mountain regions though. Temperatures will be near average, but we don’t anticipate rapid temperature swings. Lake effect snow will likely be slightly above normal.

Our Preliminary 2016-2017 Winter Outlook will be released October 4th. Don’t forget to like us on facebook by clicking here!

Hello, my name is Josh Adams. This year I am a junior in high school in South Central PA. I have had a passion for weather since I was five or six years old, watching the Weather Channel when the average kid my age was watching cartoons. At age 11, I discovered that there is a significant amount of weather info online from knowledgeable meteorologists to weather models and everything in between. I had the privilege to take part in a group that held informational weather discussions nearly everyday. I gained a significant amount of knowledge in several months back in 2012, constantly studying meteorology for hours each and just about every day. I created Northeast Weather Action in early 2013, just after the previous winter had ended. Things were pretty slow to start, however the winter of 2013-2014 greatly helped grow the page. Several of my forecasts verified nicely across the area. I met Chris during that winter in a facebook group, and we talked often about anticipated weather events. Just before the start of the 2014-2015 Winter, I added Chris to Northeast Weather Action (now Pennsylvania Weather Action), and once again we hit several key forecasts. Chris and I are looking forward to giving you the most up to date and reliable forecasts!

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