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Fall 2016 is almost upon us. With that said, it does not feel like it in any way whatsoever. Temperatures are reaching the 80s and 90s nearly everyday, and as mentioned in the September Outlook posted earlier, that will be common as we progress through September. Below is a month-by-month outlook. Instead of getting into all of the scientific variables that 99% of you could care less about, we will jump straight into temperatures and precipitation.
SEPTEMBER 2016: Above average temperatures are expected with slightly below average rainfall.
This will negatively impact Fall Foliage, turning many trees brown or dark yellow. Furthermore, the current drought is likely to be extended but not worsen.
OCTOBER 2016: Slightly above average temperatures with average precipitation.
During October we will experience temperature swings. However, we do think that above average temperatures will be more common. With that said, there will be three to five day periods where below average temperatures exist. Precipitation will be in the form of storm systems along with cold fronts. We do think that some areas will see their first flakes in Mid to Late October.
NOVEMBER 2016: Average temperatures along with average precipitation.
Once again temperatures swings will be seen during the month of November, as they usually are. There is a chance that this month could be slightly above average temperature-wise. Precipitation will be near-normal with lake effect snow beginning in Late November. We are confident that the entire state will see their first snow in November.
DECEMBER 2016: Average temperatures and average precipitation.
We don’t expect this month to be snow-filled. There is a chance of a few winter weather events outside of mountain regions though. Temperatures will be near average, but we don’t anticipate rapid temperature swings. Lake effect snow will likely be slightly above normal.