Good morning everyone, after a long severe weather season in July, we now move into August with more severe weather for the start of the month of August.
Severe Weather Outlook for Thursday 08/01
There is a risk for severe thunderstorms today for the Midwest with severe winds, large hail and possible tornadoes.
As a trough of low pressure moves through the Upper Midwest and through the Great Lakes region, this will bring severe weather on the cold front as it moves through this morning and later today with a MCS forming. Please see SPC threat map below.
NAM Future Radar Loop for Thursday
The NAM future radar loop shows a line of severe storms moving into Missouri and Iowa this morning and East towards Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio and Kentucky later this afternoon. A possible MCS is forecast to form today bringing a line of severe storms with severe winds, large hail and possible tornadoes.
HRRR Bulk Wind Shear for Thursday
The HRRR Bulk Wind Shear map highlights where the strongest wind shear will be for later today. It shows a line of severe wind gusts that will move into Kentucky later today. There could be some possible tornadoes as well with large hail.
Severe Weather Outlook for Friday 08/02
A marginal risk of severe weather for Friday as a trough of low pressure will bring a cold front towards the Ohio Valley and Mid Atlantic Region. Severe winds will be the main factor with any storms that do develop on the front as it moves East. Please see the SPC threat map below.
Severe Weather Outlook for Saturday 08/03
A marginal risk of severe weather for Saturday as the cold front exits the East Coast. This will bring severe winds and large hail into the Mid Atlantic and down to the Carolinas this weekend.
Another system will move through the Dakotas on Saturday bringing severe winds and large hail to the Northern Plains. Please see the SPC threat map.
I will keep you posted if any other severe weather happens beyond the three days. I am also watching the tropics for any tropical weather developments.
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