Marginal Risk for Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Today Across Most of Pennsylvania

Marginal Risk for Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Today Across Most of Pennsylvania

A warm and humid day is on tap, and unlike yesterday, we expect some sun to break out by the late morning. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to pop-up by mid to late afternoon, however there is a low chance of severe activity. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Marginal Risk for today across most of western and central Pennsylvania.

Today’s setup is not impressing the models at least around here, but much of the Southeast US is looking at a greater risk. Below is the HRRR loop for 2-9 PM today, showing those scattered showers and storms.

A few showers are possible Wednesday as a gust front goes through, meaning we will also see wind gusts of 20-30 MPH. Afterwards, we will fall back into a cooler pattern with probably little to no severe thunderstorm potential for the next week to possibly two weeks.

Josh Adams is the founder and lead forecaster of Pennsylvania Weather Action, a regional forecasting site he launched in 2015. With over a decade of experience analyzing weather patterns across Pennsylvania, his forecasts have reached millions of readers throughout the state. Josh specializes in Pennsylvania’s complex microclimates and terrain-driven weather patterns, providing detailed coverage of severe thunderstorms, winter storms, and flooding events. His forecasting focuses on delivering precise, timely information to help Pennsylvanians stay informed and prepared during impactful weather. Last Updated: March 10, 2026