Monthly Outlook

To begin with, this article will be more technical than normal. This winter started off with temperatures near average in December. Though, you were probably wondering why it never snowed when it was cold and why it always rained when it was warm. We often turn to the NAO and AO when we think of winter. However, neither of those factors really played a big role in December. The teleconnection that dominated the pattern was the PNA. If you don’t know what the PNA is, it’s no big deal. All you need to know is when the PNA is negative,…MORE...
December is nearly upon us, meaning winter weather is just about here. However if this December is anything like December 2015, every other morning will be foggy and snow will be nonexistent. Those of you who read our Official Winter Outlook know that will not be the case this December. In fact, there are already two periods of interest in the first 10 days of December. The first, less promising period is December 4th/5th. The next period that looks fairly interesting is December 9th/10th. By then the cold will be more established and numerous models have a storm system on…MORE...
October is a month consisting of rapidly dropping temperatures. October 1st, average highs are in the low 60s to low 70s. October 31st, highs average only in the upper 40s and 50s. Some years are different than others of course. In 2011, a winter storm moved through the region just before Halloween, blanketing much of the state with over a half foot of snow. So what will the rest of October bring us this year? Temperature swings will likely continue into mid and late October. Below average temperatures will dominate the upcoming week with the exception of Thursday. Lows Sunday…MORE...
Fall 2016 Weather Forecast: A Slow Start to Fall, Snow Still Possible Late Season Fall 2016 is almost upon us. With that said, it does not feel like it in any way whatsoever. Temperatures are reaching the 80s and 90s nearly everyday, and as mentioned in the September Outlook posted earlier, that will be common as we progress through September. Below is a month-by-month outlook. Instead of getting into all of the scientific variables that 99% of you could care less about, we will jump straight into temperatures and precipitation. SEPTEMBER 2016: Above average temperatures are expected with slightly below average rainfall. This will negatively impact Fall Foliage, turning many trees brown or dark…MORE...
September 2016 Forecast: Fall Didn’t Get an Invite to the Party As we begin to head into Fall, many are wondering what the weather will be like and how it could impact Fall Foliage. Some are even wondering about the winter already. For now, we will focus on September. This Summer has definitely been hot and dry. It has been so dry, there are voluntary water reductions in parts of the state. Unfortunately, we expect September to be an extension of this type of weather. Hot and dry conditions are expected to persist. The main source of rain will be along cold fronts, which will be few and far between. There…MORE...
March 2016 Forecast: An Early Spring         After a fairly mild and wet winter, Spring has arrived. Although it’s possible we could get a few more minor snow events, this March will be much warmer and wetter than normal. By this upcoming week, parts of the state will be reaching the 70s and this will likely continue into Mid-March. Also, the chance for severe storms is increased with this warmer weather. Late March will not be as above average temperature-wise.         Furthermore, with storms cutting to our west we will be on the warm side, bringing the potential for not…MORE...
FEBRUARY 2016 WEATHER OUTLOOK: A WILD RIDE         January and December were two completely different months for us here in the Northeast weather-wise. December might as well have been named October, with record breaking warmth including days reaching 70 degrees. January however, was a much different story. We predicted below average temperatures and that’s exactly what occurred. Also, one of the worst blizzards in history pounded Southern and Eastern PA with as much as 38″ of snow. Some areas received more snow in the single snowstorm than their season average.         So what does February have in its plans for our…MORE...
JANUARY 2016 Weather Forecast         December was a month that was flat-out amazing for some of us and a nightmare for others, depending on if you’re a winter-lover or not. However January has plans favoring the winter category. We expect slightly below normal temperatures (20s & 30s as highs, 10s and 20s as lows), and slightly above average snowfall overall. Here’s why.         For the entire month of December, the MJO was in phases that favor above average temperatures on the East Coast which is exactly what we saw. But for the first time in over two months,…MORE...

Download Our New App!

FIND A POST

WHERE IN PA DO YOU BELONG?

ONLINE NOW