As leaves begin to fade and temperatures turn colder, we know we’re approaching not only the holiday season, but the winter season as well. In a few weekends, clocks will fall back and sunset will soon be before 5:00pm. That’s typically when the realization that winter is approaching occurs.
NOAA released their 2022-2023 Winter Outlook today, Thursday, October 20. It accounts for various teleconnections around the globe, but none more than the expected weak La Nina. This will be the third winter straight with La Nina conditions.
La Nina usually favors below average temperatures in the Northern US, and above average temperatures in the Southern US along with the East Coast. Wetter than average conditions are favored in the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes.
However, there are many variables that can quickly make for a very cold stretch in unexpected areas. So this forecast does not equal what we will see every week of winter.
Below is the NOAA 2022-2023 Winter Temperature Outlook, showing the probability of anomalous temperatures.
Below is the NOAA 2022-2023 Winter Precipitation Outlook, showing the probability of anomalous precipitation.
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