We have good news and some bad news. The good news is guidance has backed off a bit on rainfall totals and shifted everything a bit south over the last 24 hours. The bad news is, the chance for rain remains throughout the whole state, but not as heavy as originally thought especially for the…
AN UPDATE HAS BEEN POSTED>>>>>https://paweatheraction.com/rainfall-totals-update-for-independence-day Unfortunately, over the last 24 hours guidance has trended North with a low pressure system that will be impacting us Monday into Tuesday. Now, this puts most of the state under the gun for some heavy rainfall. This time yesterday, it looked as if only extreme Southern PA would have…
As the latest short range guidance flows in, the STORM PREDICTION CENTER has UPGRADED much of the state in their respected categorical risks. Here’s their latest: In their discussion they state that damaging winds and hail will be the primary threat, with the potential of rotating storms. These storms that do rotate and become what…
Although we don’t expect this to be a significant event, the Storm Prediction Center has upgraded NE-PA to a slight risk. Their discussion mentions this, “SLIGHT RISK FOR HAIL…WIND…AND PERHAPS A BRIEF/WEAK TORNADO.” The slight risk covers much of Eastern Upstate New York as well, and if there were to be a brief tornado it…
It is hard to believe we are already at the end of June and forecasting the 4th of July Weekend. Time is truly flying by this year! Like the title states, there is the potential of some showers and storms for the 4th of July Weekend. They will come in 2 waves. Wave #1: Much…
The latest from the Storm Prediction Center has now placed areas in Eastern PA under a SLIGHT RISK for severe weather. This is an upgrade from their last update from earlier this morning. Timing: There will be TWO lines that will move through the area both impacting Eastern PA the greatest. The first line will…
A line of showers and perhaps embedded thunderstorms will develop today and swing through the state of PA from West to East giving an area-wide threat of showers and storms. All activity should not contain severe weather, but heavy downpours and a rumble of thunder is possible. Latest short range guidance shows this line well.…
Based off current radar observations and latest guidance, it looks like about half of PA will be able to escape the brunt of the Severe Thunderstorms and heavy rainfall during overnight hours and into Tomorrow Morning. Latest short range model, HRRR, shows this well valid for 7 am: It looks like if you live north…
We continue to track a Mesoscale Convective System that is currently tracking over the Great Lakes region, bringing with it, damaging winds, large hail, and even tornadoes. This will track towards Pennsylvania Tonight into Thursday Early Morning. While it does so, it is expected to weaken up a bit. The latest words out of the…
We are tracking a Mesoscale Convective System, that will develop across the Great Lakes region Tomorrow, slides its way Eastward into the state of Pennsylvania by Thursday Morning. The MCS will reach Western PA by Thursday Morning…likely right around the morning rush hour, before pushing East from there and reaching Eastern PA by the Afternoon…
After a mostly calm day, we turn our attention to a potent cold front that will be passing through the region later this evening and into Tomorrow morning. A line of strong to severe storms will develop along this front, first hitting the Northwest part of the state and will drift Southeastward from there. As…
Our next weather maker, that we turn our attention to, comes in the form of rainfall Thursday and again on Friday. A disturbance will develop over the Tennessee Valley and cross the Northern Mid-Atlantic States before heading out to sea later Thursday. There is still some model discrepancy of the exact track of this low…
The Storm Prediction Center has labeled much of PA under a slight risk. Damaging winds, quarter size hail, and an isolated tornado will be possible. Being that temperatures will be over 90 degrees tomorrow in many regions, storms will likely get started in the mid-morning. However we don’t expect them to…
Nearly all of Pennsylvania has been placed under a slight risk by the Storm Prediction Center for severe thunderstorms Saturday. What comes with a slight risk? Scattered severe thunderstorms with wind damage reports, hail, and a few tornadoes. At this time, we are not expecting tornadic activity in Pennsylvania. With that…
The Storm Prediction Center has been discussing this threat since Tuesday Morning, and now only being three days out it’s time for us to address it. As many of you know, we will now be posting the Storm Prediction Center’s Maps with their key. Along with that, we will be quoting…
