June 29: More Summer Sun Before Possible Scattered Storms Fri & Sat; Independence Day Model Breakdown

Good morning, it’s Wednesday, June 29th, 2022. Below is a current view of satellite & radar, and surface analysis. Today Today begins the warming trend, with highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. High pressure will continue to keeps skies mostly sunny. A light southwest breeze is expected, with occasional gusts up to 15mph.…

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Active Wednesday Likely with Clusters of Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Mainly West of the Susquehanna River in Central & Western PA; Timing & Risks

After a brief stretch of some very nice weather, we’re back at it again with summertime storms as we seem to be stuck on this boundary between cooler weather to the east and some serious heat to the west. The gradient between the two has been where thunderstorms have been firing in the past two…

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Thursday to Bring Severe Thunderstorms Across Sections of Pennsylvania; Enhanced Risk for Damaging Winds Posted

After Tuesday Morning’s derecho narrowly missed Western PA, another shot at severe thunderstorms comes Thursday, with an Enhanced Risk centered on the heart of the state. Early morning thunderstorms are possible Thursday morning as a mesoscale connective system (small area of storms) works through the region between 2-7am Thursday. Storms look to develop across the…

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Derecho May Impact Parts of Western Pennsylvania Tonight into Tuesday Morning; 50-75 MPH Winds Possible

A mesoscale (small area) convective (thunderstorm) system developing in Michigan early this evening has serious potential to form a derecho (>240 mile path of damaging winds) that will move into Western Pennsylvania by early Tuesday morning. Damaging winds are possible in Southwest PA before sunrise Tuesday, so if you have anything that may blow away,…

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Strong to Severe Storms Poss. Today in Eastern & Central Pennsylvania; Damaging Winds, Flash Flooding, Isolated Tornado Risk

We’re going to kick off Memorial Day Weekend on a stormy tone, with the possibility of severe thunderstorms in eastern and central Pennsylvania. A low pressure system dragging a weak cold front behind it will move north of our area over Ontario Friday. Typically, areas on the southern flank of low pressure systems this time…

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Memorial Day 2022 Weekend Forecast: Starting Stormy Before Clear & Comfortable Weather

Weekends lately have featured anything but nice weather. Last weekend was a torch, and previous weekends featured cool and wet conditions. Memorial Day Weekend last year set the bar very low, as temperatures were in the 40s and 50s as the rain just kept falling. This year, Memorial Day Weekend will be much more pleasant.…

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Strong to Severe Thunderstorms With Damaging Winds & Isolated Hail Possible Today in Parts of PA

Latest short range model guidance indicates a cluster of thunderstorms developing across Southwest PA late this morning, before strengthening as they head into Central PA by the early afternoon. The cluster of storms is then expected to make its way into Eastern PA by late this afternoon. Damaging winds are the main concern, along with…

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Daily Forecast for Friday, May 13, 2022

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening across Central and Southeastern Pennsylvania. If we get enough breaks in the clouds before showers develop, highs will reach the low to mid-70s.  Across Northern and Western Pennsylvania, less rain and a bit more sun should help to boost temperatures into the mid to upper…

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